Friday, 3 December 2010

Cognitive Dissonance

With all this bad weather we’ve experienced these last few weeks, has to be some kind of record breaker, I bet it is a long time since we experienced such a start to a winter. Add to that, the fact we in Britain are so crap at dealing with severe weather, especially the national and local government I have been reading some articles about the bad weather situation, here in the good old UK. Is it as bad everywhere in Europe? Probably, but they know how to handle it; they don’t get weather manflu like we do here in Britannia. As I read more and more about the catastrophic, frozen, doom, covering our great land, I eventually stumbled onto James Delingpole’s blog on the Telegraph online website. James is the champion of the Climate Change Sceptic, and although I don’t agree with all his views especially the ones about the Right Wing Tea Party of America, I like to read his views on Climate Change. At present he is having a field day and in one of his blogs he writes about cognitive dissonance, which I had never heard of before so I found it interesting; here is a definition, I nicked from Wikipedia. You learn something new every day.

Cognitive dissonance is an uncomfortable feeling caused by holding conflicting ideas simultaneously. The theory of cognitive dissonance proposes that people have a motivational drive to reduce dissonance. They do this by changing their attitudes, beliefs, and actions. Dissonance is also reduced by justifying, blaming, and denying. It is one of the most influential and extensively studied theories in social psychology.

As I read it, what it basically means is, you are blinded to the obvious truth, because it differs from their actual beliefs; you could also use the argument in the opposite direction just as well. The example James uses, is from the Met Office spokeswoman when speaking about the severe weather we are experiencing and the fact they didn’t expect it to happen when every other source did. If you believe James, he states that the Met Office said it would be a mild dry winter. How they could ever think this is beyond me, I am no meteorologists but it seemed highly likely this year would be another year with a bad winter. As I have mentioned before the Iceland volcano alone makes it more likely. Anyway I will end with a paragraph from James which I think sums up the whole situation rather well.

“Cognitive dissonance is when all the evidence of your senses and intellect tell you one thing; but your brain stubbornly insists the truth is otherwise.

So, for example, it’s snowing heavily outside; the country is in chaos; independent weather forecasters are predicting dreadful winters for many years to come; global warming stopped in 1998 even as CO2 emissions continued to rise; the Climategate emails reveal the scientists at the very heart of the IPCC to be corrupt and mendacious; wind farms and solar farms are an exceedingly inefficient way of producing energy and have wreaked serious economic damage on all countries (Denmark, Spain, Germany) that have tried introducing them on a massive scale.

Yet still you go on insisting that: the snow is a temporary blip (”weather not climate”), AGW remains a serious threat – as the majority of the most distinguished and reliable scientific “experts” testify; green jobs are the future and the drive for renewables can only do Britain the power of good.

Well, cognitive dissonance is the polite way of putting it. I’d call it sheer and utter bloody madness.”

Exactly; sheer and utter bloody madness, but what do we know, I wonder how certain people sleep at night. I know it should not be the case, but I find now that anything a climate scientist says is going to be bogus, incorrect or made up, and hard to believe. And if man made global warming is as real a threat as they suggest, then they need to start to be honest, a total open book. To categorise what is used throughout the world to create the global temperatures we see as the highest in the last 150 years. The fact they seem to be alarmist, deceitful, greedy, worst possible scenario freaks, and unfortunately they have been crying wolf for so long now, we are sick of hearing it. If you go by the figures quoted in the early 90’s we shouldn’t have any more snow in Britain, as one climatologist suggested. The picture they created made our future look grim, apocalyptic even. Yet none of these extreme scenarios have manifested, the temperature rise expected has been grossly exaggerated. The fact that mere logic, shows their argument to be BS, as well as the wonderful Climategate emails, which show those supposed scientists to be nothing more than selfish greedy egotists, revelling in their power. If you have read those emails and can honestly see them any differently then I would definitely say you were suffering from cognitive dissonance.

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